Dnepr Mogilev 0-2 Neman Grodno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 13 Apr 2024

Dnepr Mogilev
0-2 HT 0-1
Neman Grodno
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Belarus - Premier League – 2024

Dnepr Mogilev vs Neman Grodno Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
6.35
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
57%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.86
Over 2.5
56%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.19
No
49%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.23
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.64
6+ Goals
13%
14.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.64 — our 26% vs market 22.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
13%
+6.4pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.8pp
57%
Away Win
67%
-10.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
50%
-5.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
50%
+5.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+9.1pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dnepr Mogilev v Neman Grodno — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dnepr Mogilev EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Neman Grodno EU Bookmakers 71%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.50/2.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/0.50
-37% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +45%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
253 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 452 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.6

Dnepr Mogilev vs Neman Grodno Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dnepr Mogilev
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Neman Grodno
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
20.10.2022 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 2-0 HT 1-0 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR
18.06.2022 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 1-3 HT 0-0 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
14.04.2018 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 0-0 HT 0-0 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR
11.09.2017 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 2-0 HT 0-0 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR
26.10.2014 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 1-1 HT 0-0 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
14.09.2014 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 1-1 HT 1-1 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR

Dnepr Mogilev 0-2 Neman Grodno — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dnepr Mogilev
0-2
AWAY Neman Grodno
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 19
0 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dnepr Mogilev vs Neman Grodno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neman Grodno saw off Dnepr Mogilev 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Neman Grodno as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dnepr Mogilev had 35% of the ball to Neman Grodno's 65%, shots finished 6-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neman Grodno led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Dnepr Mogilev and 1.50 for Neman Grodno.

What was the final score of Dnepr Mogilev vs Neman Grodno?

Dnepr Mogilev 0-2 Neman Grodno in the Belarus - Premier League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dnepr Mogilev vs Neman Grodno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neman Grodno win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Dnepr Mogilev 19%, draw 24%, Neman Grodno 57%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neman Grodno) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neman Grodno) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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