Middelfart 2-1 Skive IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 23 Aug 2024

Middelfart
2-1 HT 2-1
Skive IK
📅23/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Denmark - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Middelfart vs Skive IK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
2.0
Over 2.5
38%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.78
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
16%
3.22
6+ Goals
8%
11.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.78 — our 33% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
54%
-10.3pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
46%
+16.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
54%
-16.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-10.0pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Middelfart v Skive IK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middelfart EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Skive IK EU Bookmakers 25%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +19%
1.80/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.27
-5% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Middelfart vs Skive IK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Middelfart
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Skive IK
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.11.2023 Middelfart Middelfart 0-1 HT 0-1 Skive IK Skive IK DAN2
15.09.2023 Skive IK Skive IK 0-2 HT 0-1 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
13.11.2021 Skive IK Skive IK 1-0 HT 0-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
09.10.2021 Middelfart Middelfart 2-3 HT 0-1 Skive IK Skive IK DAN2
10.09.2019 Middelfart Middelfart 0-2 HT 0-1 Skive IK Skive IK DAK
09.05.2014 Skive IK Skive IK 3-0 HT 1-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2

Middelfart 2-1 Skive IK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middelfart
2-1
AWAY Skive IK
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
15 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Middelfart vs Skive IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middelfart squeezed past Skive IK 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Middelfart as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Middelfart had 59% of the ball to Skive IK's 41%, shots finished 12-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Skive IK led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Middelfart and 1.67 for Skive IK.

What was the final score of Middelfart vs Skive IK?

Middelfart 2-1 Skive IK in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middelfart vs Skive IK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Middelfart win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Middelfart 43%, draw 28%, Skive IK 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Middelfart) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Middelfart) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAN2 More Denmark - 2nd Division
23 Aug 2024
20:00 Nykobing vs Frem Analysis →
20:00 Akademisk BK vs Aarhus Fremad Analysis →