Akademisk BK 3-2 Aarhus Fremad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.84
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
3.2
6+ Goals
10%
10.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.6pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.2pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+1.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akademisk BK EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 42%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -17%
1.50/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/2.03
+16% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -37%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
322 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Akademisk BK
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Aarhus Fremad
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.06.2024 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 5-3 HT 3-0 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
11.05.2024 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 1-0 HT 1-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
17.03.2024 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 1-1 HT 1-0 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
07.10.2023 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 1-1 HT 1-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
17.06.2023 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 5-2 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
16.04.2023 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 0-3 HT 0-2 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Akademisk BK
3-2
AWAY Aarhus Fremad
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Akademisk BK vs Aarhus Fremad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Akademisk BK edged past Aarhus Fremad 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 21% / 40%) promised a tight game; Akademisk BK found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Akademisk BK had 39% of the ball to Aarhus Fremad's 61%, shots finished 10-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aarhus Fremad led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Akademisk BK and 2.33 for Aarhus Fremad.

What was the final score of Akademisk BK vs Aarhus Fremad?

Akademisk BK 3-2 Aarhus Fremad in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akademisk BK vs Aarhus Fremad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aarhus Fremad win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Akademisk BK 39%, draw 21%, Aarhus Fremad 40%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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