Akademisk BK 5-3 Aarhus Fremad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 7 Jun 2024

📅07/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.71
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
51%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.44
2-3 Goals
38%
1.89
4-5 Goals
28%
2.92
6+ Goals
9%
8.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
18%
+10.1pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.2pp
51%
Away Win
61%
-10.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.4pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akademisk BK EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 66%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +11%
1.14/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.32/0.99
-6% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +2%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Akademisk BK
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Aarhus Fremad
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2024 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 1-0 HT 1-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
17.03.2024 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 1-1 HT 1-0 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
07.10.2023 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 1-1 HT 1-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
17.06.2023 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 5-2 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
16.04.2023 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 0-3 HT 0-2 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
12.03.2023 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 1-1 HT 0-1 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Akademisk BK
5-3
AWAY Aarhus Fremad
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Akademisk BK vs Aarhus Fremad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Akademisk BK saw off Aarhus Fremad 5-3. Half-time: 3-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Aarhus Fremad at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Akademisk BK had 39% of the ball to Aarhus Fremad's 61%, shots finished 11-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aarhus Fremad led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Akademisk BK and 2.00 for Aarhus Fremad.

What was the final score of Akademisk BK vs Aarhus Fremad?

Akademisk BK 5-3 Aarhus Fremad in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 07/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akademisk BK vs Aarhus Fremad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aarhus Fremad win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Akademisk BK 28%, draw 21%, Aarhus Fremad 51%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →