PSIS Semarang 1-0 PSBS Biak Numfor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSIS Semarang EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY PSBS Biak Numfor EU Bookmakers 26%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-4% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
317 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH PSIS Semarang vs PSBS Biak Numfor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSIS Semarang squeezed past PSBS Biak Numfor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had PSIS Semarang as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of PSIS Semarang vs PSBS Biak Numfor?

PSIS Semarang 1-0 PSBS Biak Numfor in the Indonesia League 1 on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSIS Semarang vs PSBS Biak Numfor?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSIS Semarang win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split PSIS Semarang 47%, draw 28%, PSBS Biak Numfor 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSIS Semarang), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSIS Semarang) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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