PSG 6-0 Montpellier — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.28
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
20%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
35%
2.96
Over Pick
65%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
18%
6.95
2-3
37%
2.18
4-5
27%
2.47
6+
18%
4.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.4
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
24.45
X/1
19%
3.61
X/2
5%
23.15
X/X
7%
10.05
2/1
8%
20.3
2/2
8%
15.8
2/X
6%
23.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.3 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
60%
Home Win
74%
-13.2pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.3pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.0pp
35%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.2pp
65%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.0pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSG The Market 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier The Market 14%
-6% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.17/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/2.38
+22% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
447 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
33.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
15.6 Crosses 14.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSG
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Montpellier
3.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.52 xG 0.88
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
607 Passes 292
91% Pass Accuracy 82%
34 Box Touches 10
12 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.03.2024 Montpellier Montpellier 2-6 HT 2-2 PSG PSG FR1
03.11.2023 PSG PSG 3-0 HT 1-0 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
01.02.2023 Montpellier Montpellier 1-3 HT 0-0 PSG PSG FR1
13.08.2022 PSG PSG 5-2 HT 2-0 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
14.05.2022 Montpellier Montpellier 0-4 HT 0-3 PSG PSG FR1
25.09.2021 PSG PSG 2-0 HT 1-0 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSG
6-0
AWAY Montpellier
3.82 xG 0.63
69% Ball Possession 31%
27 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
694 Passes 282
93% Pass Accuracy 83%
39 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH PSG vs Montpellier
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSG swept aside Montpellier 6-0. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had PSG as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (65%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, PSG had 69% of the ball to Montpellier's 31%, shots finished 27-8, expected goals 3.82 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSG had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.83 goals for PSG and 0.83 for Montpellier.

What was the final score of PSG vs Montpellier?

PSG 6-0 Montpellier in the France - Ligue 1 on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSG vs Montpellier?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split PSG 60%, draw 20%, Montpellier 20%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSG) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →