Orijent 1919 0-1 Radnik Sesvete — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-7.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.2pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orijent 1919 EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnik Sesvete EU Bookmakers 25%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.48/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.05
-7% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +41%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
329 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orijent 1919
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Radnik Sesvete
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.03.2024 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 2-2 HT 1-1 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 HIR2
03.03.2024 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 1-0 HT 1-0 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orijent 1919
0-1
AWAY Radnik Sesvete
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Orijent 1919 vs Radnik Sesvete
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnik Sesvete edged past Orijent 1919 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Orijent 1919 at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Orijent 1919 had 50% of the ball to Radnik Sesvete's 50%, shots finished 8-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Orijent 1919 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Orijent 1919 and 1.00 for Radnik Sesvete.

What was the final score of Orijent 1919 vs Radnik Sesvete?

Orijent 1919 0-1 Radnik Sesvete in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orijent 1919 vs Radnik Sesvete?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orijent 1919 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Orijent 1919 47%, draw 27%, Radnik Sesvete 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Orijent 1919) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orijent 1919) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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