Bangor FC 4-0 Newington Youth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.42
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.59
Over 2.5
49%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
5.95
2-3 Goals
44%
2.06
4-5 Goals
20%
2.58
6+ Goals
12%
5.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.95 — our 24% vs market 12.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
66%
-4.7pp
17%
Draw
20%
-2.3pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+7.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
35%
+16.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
65%
-16.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.7pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bangor FC EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 17%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.79/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/2.10
-18% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
402 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bangor FC
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Newington Youth
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
13.01.2024 Newington Youth Newington Youth 1-3 HT 0-2 Bangor FC Bangor FC KİRL1
11.11.2023 Newington Youth Newington Youth 2-1 HT 0-0 Bangor FC Bangor FC KİRL1
23.09.2023 Bangor FC Bangor FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
POST-MATCH Bangor FC vs Newington Youth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bangor FC cruised past Newington Youth 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bangor FC as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bangor FC had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bangor FC and 1.33 for Newington Youth.

What was the final score of Bangor FC vs Newington Youth?

Bangor FC 4-0 Newington Youth in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bangor FC vs Newington Youth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bangor FC win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Bangor FC 61%, draw 17%, Newington Youth 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bangor FC), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bangor FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →