Al Ahli 2-1 Al Khor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.22
2-3 Goals
36%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
3.01
6+ Goals
13%
9.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.2pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Khor EU Bookmakers 36%
-16% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -9%
1.36/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.36
-9% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / +14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
293 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.8 Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Khor
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
527 Passes 168
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2022 Al Ahli Al Ahli 6-3 HT 3-1 Al Khor Al Khor KAT
17.10.2021 Al Khor Al Khor 2-2 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
13.01.2021 Al Ahli Al Ahli 1-2 HT 0-2 Al Khor Al Khor KAT
13.09.2020 Al Khor Al Khor 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
30.01.2020 Al Ahli Al Ahli 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Khor Al Khor KAT
13.09.2019 Al Khor Al Khor 2-3 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
POST-MATCH Al Ahli vs Al Khor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli edged past Al Khor 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ahli as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Al Ahli and 1.83 for Al Khor.

What was the final score of Al Ahli vs Al Khor?

Al Ahli 2-1 Al Khor in the Qatar League on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli vs Al Khor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli 41%, draw 26%, Al Khor 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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