Al Gharafa 2-1 Al Rayyan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.51
Over 2.5
66%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.43
No
37%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
5.54
2-3 Goals
37%
2.02
4-5 Goals
33%
2.65
6+ Goals
13%
6.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+2.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-2.0pp
34%
Under 2.5
36%
-2.2pp
66%
Over 2.5
64%
+2.2pp
63%
BTTS Yes
66%
-3.1pp
37%
BTTS No
34%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Gharafa EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Rayyan EU Bookmakers 43%
+10% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.05/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.69
+41% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
342 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
10.7 Crosses 15.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Gharafa
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Rayyan
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.56 xG 1.77
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
276 Passes 352
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.05.2024 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KATVPK
17.03.2024 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
28.10.2023 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 3-4 HT 2-1 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
07.10.2023 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KATYK
08.05.2023 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 4-1 HT 1-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
24.01.2023 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Gharafa
2-1
AWAY Al Rayyan
1.99 xG 1.38
37% Ball Possession 63%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
222 Passes 453
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Gharafa vs Al Rayyan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Gharafa edged past Al Rayyan 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; Al Gharafa found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Gharafa had 37% of the ball to Al Rayyan's 63%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.99 to 1.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Rayyan led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Gharafa and 2.00 for Al Rayyan.

What was the final score of Al Gharafa vs Al Rayyan?

Al Gharafa 2-1 Al Rayyan in the Qatar League on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Gharafa vs Al Rayyan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Gharafa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Gharafa 39%, draw 23%, Al Rayyan 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Gharafa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Gharafa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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