Correcaminos UAT 1-1 Celaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 23 Aug 2024

Correcaminos UAT
1-1 HT 0-0
Celaya
📅23/08/2024 · 🕒06:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Mexico - Primera A – 2024/2025

Correcaminos UAT vs Celaya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+1.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Correcaminos UAT v Celaya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Celaya EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.55/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.63
+36% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +91%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
326 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Correcaminos UAT vs Celaya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Correcaminos UAT
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Celaya
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
The Meetings
26.01.2024 Celaya Celaya 2-0 HT 2-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
07.10.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 0-1 HT 0-1 Celaya Celaya MEK2
13.04.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 0-1 HT 0-0 Celaya Celaya MEK2
17.10.2022 Celaya Celaya 0-3 HT 0-3 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
23.02.2022 Celaya Celaya 1-1 HT 1-1 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
29.09.2021 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-0 HT 0-0 Celaya Celaya MEK2
POST-MATCH Correcaminos UAT vs Celaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Correcaminos UAT and Celaya couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Celaya at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celaya led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Correcaminos UAT and 0.83 for Celaya.

What was the final score of Correcaminos UAT vs Celaya?

Correcaminos UAT 1-1 Celaya in the Mexico - Primera A on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Correcaminos UAT vs Celaya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celaya win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Correcaminos UAT 31%, draw 24%, Celaya 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Celaya) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celaya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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