Birkirkara 1-0 Zabbar St. Patrick — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
29%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
60%
-16.5pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.4pp
29%
Away Win
18%
+11.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.4pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birkirkara EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick EU Bookmakers 21%
-32% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.12/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
-27% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -53%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birkirkara
1-0
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick
53% Ball Possession 47%
2 Total Shots 2
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Birkirkara vs Zabbar St. Patrick
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birkirkara nicked a narrow win over Zabbar St. Patrick 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Birkirkara as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Birkirkara had 53% of the ball to Zabbar St. Patrick's 47%, shots finished 2-2.

What was the final score of Birkirkara vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

Birkirkara 1-0 Zabbar St. Patrick in the Malta - Premier League on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birkirkara vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birkirkara win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Birkirkara 43%, draw 28%, Zabbar St. Patrick 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birkirkara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Birkirkara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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