Naxxar Lions 2-1 Mosta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
22%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+1.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.1pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Mosta EU Bookmakers 40%
+55% / +55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
4.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.20
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
268 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naxxar Lions
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Mosta
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
20.01.2024 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 0-0 HT 0-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naxxar Lions
2-1
AWAY Mosta
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Naxxar Lions vs Mosta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naxxar Lions squeezed past Mosta 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Naxxar Lions made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Naxxar Lions had 50% of the ball to Mosta's 50%, shots finished 9-8.

What was the final score of Naxxar Lions vs Mosta?

Naxxar Lions 2-1 Mosta in the Malta - Premier League on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naxxar Lions vs Mosta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naxxar Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Naxxar Lions 36%, draw 29%, Mosta 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naxxar Lions) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Naxxar Lions) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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