CSMS Iaşi 1-2 Rapid Bucarest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
42%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.16
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.72
6+ Goals
9%
15.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 31% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
25%
+7.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
42%
Away Win
48%
-6.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.6pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSMS Iaşi EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Bucarest EU Bookmakers 52%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -15%
1.02/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.08
-6% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -8%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
249 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSMS Iaşi
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Rapid Bucarest
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 3-1 HT 0-0 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
06.10.2023 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 3-2 HT 2-2 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
26.09.2019 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 0-1 HT 0-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROK
04.05.2015 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 0-0 HT 0-0 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
04.11.2014 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 0-1 HT 0-1 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
23.02.2013 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 0-1 HT 0-1 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSMS Iaşi
1-2
AWAY Rapid Bucarest
0.90 xG 2.29
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
322 Passes 221
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CSMS Iaşi vs Rapid Bucarest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapid Bucarest squeezed past CSMS Iaşi 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rapid Bucarest as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CSMS Iaşi had 57% of the ball to Rapid Bucarest's 43%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 0.90 to 2.29 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Rapid Bucarest's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSMS Iaşi had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CSMS Iaşi and 0.83 for Rapid Bucarest.

What was the final score of CSMS Iaşi vs Rapid Bucarest?

CSMS Iaşi 1-2 Rapid Bucarest in the Romania - 1st Division on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSMS Iaşi vs Rapid Bucarest?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rapid Bucarest win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CSMS Iaşi 33%, draw 25%, Rapid Bucarest 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rapid Bucarest) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rapid Bucarest) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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