Mladost Lucani 3-1 Cukaricki Stankom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.1pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Cukaricki Stankom EU Bookmakers 48%
+18% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
1.23/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.04
+26% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +37%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
278 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
22.3 Crosses 17.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mladost Lucani
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Cukaricki Stankom
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.53 xG 1.76
41% Ball Possession 59%
4 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
232 Passes 383
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
7 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2024 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 4-1 HT 2-1 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
08.03.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-0 HT 1-0 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
22.12.2023 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 3-0 HT 2-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
01.03.2023 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 0-1 HT 0-0 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
01.09.2022 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 3-1 HT 2-1 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
19.02.2022 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 1-0 HT 0-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mladost Lucani
3-1
AWAY Cukaricki Stankom
0.52 xG 1.84
30% Ball Possession 70%
5 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
166 Passes 500
65% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mladost Lucani vs Cukaricki Stankom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mladost Lucani saw off Cukaricki Stankom 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cukaricki Stankom at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Mladost Lucani had 30% of the ball to Cukaricki Stankom's 70%, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 0.52 to 1.84 — the balance of chances actually favoured Cukaricki Stankom.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cukaricki Stankom led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mladost Lucani and 2.00 for Cukaricki Stankom.

What was the final score of Mladost Lucani vs Cukaricki Stankom?

Mladost Lucani 3-1 Cukaricki Stankom in the Serbia - Super League on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mladost Lucani vs Cukaricki Stankom?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cukaricki Stankom win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mladost Lucani 32%, draw 27%, Cukaricki Stankom 42%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cukaricki Stankom), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cukaricki Stankom) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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