Kocaelispor vs Erzurumspor FK Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kocaelispor v Erzurumspor FK — Team-Based Signals
Kocaelispor vs Erzurumspor FK Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Erzurumspor FK
T1L
1-0
HT 0-0
Kocaelispor
T1L
2-0
HT 1-0
Erzurumspor FK
T1L
Kocaelispor 1-0 Erzurumspor FK — Actual Match Statistics
Kocaelispor edged past Erzurumspor FK 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kocaelispor as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Kocaelispor had 62% of the ball to Erzurumspor FK's 38%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 0.95 to 0.32.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Kocaelispor and 0.50 for Erzurumspor FK.
What was the final score of Kocaelispor vs Erzurumspor FK?
Kocaelispor 1-0 Erzurumspor FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kocaelispor vs Erzurumspor FK?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kocaelispor win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kocaelispor 49%, draw 27%, Erzurumspor FK 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kocaelispor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.