Yunnan Yukun 1-5 Chengdu Qianbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.09
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
58%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.28
2-3 Goals
36%
1.95
4-5 Goals
26%
2.49
6+ Goals
15%
5.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
9.42
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
18.65
1/X
6%
17.5
X/1
8%
12.8
X/2
21%
4.15
X/X
10%
7.28
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
28%
1.73
2/X
4%
15.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 18.65 — our 9% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
+5.4pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.6pp
58%
Away Win
64%
-6.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.4pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 69%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -17%
1.45/2.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.03
+112% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -25%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
260 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 81%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.4
16.6 Crosses 22.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yunnan Yukun
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.84 xG 4.03
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 6
179 Passes 356
66% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 32
11 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.04.2025 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 1-1 HT 1-0 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yunnan Yukun
1-5
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
1.52 xG 2.09
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 3
291 Passes 344
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu Qianbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao cruised past Yunnan Yukun 5-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chengdu Qianbao as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Yunnan Yukun had 48% of the ball to Chengdu Qianbao's 52%, shots finished 16-19, expected goals 1.52 to 2.09.

What was the final score of Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Yunnan Yukun 1-5 Chengdu Qianbao in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Yunnan Yukun 22%, draw 20%, Chengdu Qianbao 58%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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