Chengdu Qianbao 1-1 Yunnan Yukun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 16 Apr 2025

Chengdu Qianbao
1-1 HT 1-0
Yunnan Yukun
📅16/04/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2026

Chengdu Qianbao vs Yunnan Yukun Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.34
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.46
2-3 Goals
37%
2.01
4-5 Goals
31%
2.53
6+ Goals
12%
5.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.59
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
18.6
X/1
16%
4.04
X/2
8%
15.95
X/X
10%
8.29
2/1
6%
19.3
2/2
6%
12.3
2/X
6%
21.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
70%
-11.7pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.6pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.3pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chengdu Qianbao v Yunnan Yukun — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.27/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/4.26
-5% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 78%
33.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
25.4 Crosses 12.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Chengdu Qianbao 1-1 Yunnan Yukun — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
1-1
AWAY Yunnan Yukun
4.03 xG 0.84
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
356 Passes 179
80% Pass Accuracy 66%
32 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chengdu Qianbao vs Yunnan Yukun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao and Yunnan Yukun shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Chengdu Qianbao carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chengdu Qianbao had 62% of the ball to Yunnan Yukun's 38%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 4.03 to 0.84.

What was the final score of Chengdu Qianbao vs Yunnan Yukun?

Chengdu Qianbao 1-1 Yunnan Yukun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chengdu Qianbao vs Yunnan Yukun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Chengdu Qianbao 58%, draw 22%, Yunnan Yukun 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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