Dalian Zhixing 1-0 Henan Jianye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 16 Apr 2025

📅16/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.61
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
4.12
6+ Goals
8%
20.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.12 — our 25% vs market 18.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.19
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
14%
4.91
X/2
6%
6.72
X/X
14%
4.14
2/1
10%
29.0
2/2
18%
5.17
2/X
8%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dalian Zhixing EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +88%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
289 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
Crosses 19.0
Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dalian Zhixing
1-0
AWAY Henan Jianye
1.19 xG 1.34
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
281 Passes 251
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dalian Zhixing vs Henan Jianye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dalian Zhixing nicked a narrow win over Henan Jianye 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Dalian Zhixing made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Dalian Zhixing had 52% of the ball to Henan Jianye's 48%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 1.19 to 1.34.

What was the final score of Dalian Zhixing vs Henan Jianye?

Dalian Zhixing 1-0 Henan Jianye in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dalian Zhixing vs Henan Jianye?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dalian Zhixing win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dalian Zhixing 38%, draw 29%, Henan Jianye 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dalian Zhixing), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dalian Zhixing) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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