Shanghai Shenhua 3-2 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 16 Apr 2025

📅16/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.18
Draw
17%
6.26
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.96
Over 2.5
68%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.91
2-3 Goals
34%
2.19
4-5 Goals
33%
2.38
6+ Goals
15%
4.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
54%
1.27
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
5%
29.0
X/1
9%
3.97
X/2
3%
32.5
X/X
6%
12.0
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
22.0
2/2
6%
27.5
2/X
6%
34.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.0 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
80%
-9.6pp
17%
Draw
13%
+3.7pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+5.9pp
32%
Under 2.5
30%
+2.2pp
68%
Over 2.5
70%
-2.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.3pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Shenhua EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
2.99/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/2.70
-15% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
426 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 79%
42.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.9
31.6 Crosses 12.7
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Shenhua
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.51 xG 0.69
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
394 Passes 312
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
33 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 HT 0-1 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİNSL
30.06.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 HT 0-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİNSL
15.05.2024 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 2-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
08.03.2024 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 2-0 HT 2-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
07.11.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 HT 0-1 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİNK
30.09.2023 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 1-0 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Shenhua
3-2
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
2.06 xG 1.13
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 3
405 Passes 261
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
39 Box Touches 10
37 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Shenhua edged past Qingdao Jonoon 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shanghai Shenhua as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Shanghai Shenhua had 60% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 40%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 2.06 to 1.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shanghai Shenhua had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Shanghai Shenhua and 0.00 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Shanghai Shenhua 3-2 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Shenhua win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Shenhua 71%, draw 17%, Qingdao Jonoon 13%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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