Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 Shanghai Shenhua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
6.35
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
50%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.59
Over 2.5
50%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
5.52
2-3 Goals
37%
2.01
4-5 Goals
23%
2.65
6+ Goals
11%
6.37
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.52 — our 29% vs market 13.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
12.5
1/2
9%
20.35
1/X
4%
20.75
X/1 EV+ ✗
17%
17.3
X/2
12%
3.59
X/X
10%
8.17
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
30%
1.55
2/X
6%
20.8
Value flag · X/1 at 17.3 — our 17% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
13%
+16.1pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.0pp
50%
Away Win
70%
-20.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
35%
+14.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
65%
-14.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.9pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua EU Bookmakers 75%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.09/3.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/0.73
+1% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% /
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
265 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 83%
14.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.0
12.4 Crosses 18.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.77 xG 2.58
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
308 Passes 414
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.06.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 HT 0-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİNSL
15.05.2024 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 2-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
08.03.2024 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 2-0 HT 2-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
07.11.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 HT 0-1 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİNK
30.09.2023 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 1-0 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
08.06.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 HT 0-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
0-1
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua
0.99 xG 1.26
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
417 Passes 168
81% Pass Accuracy 67%
32 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Shanghai Shenhua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Shenhua squeezed past Qingdao Jonoon 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shanghai Shenhua as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Qingdao Jonoon had 67% of the ball to Shanghai Shenhua's 33%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 0.99 to 1.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shanghai Shenhua led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 1.33 for Shanghai Shenhua.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Shanghai Shenhua?

Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 Shanghai Shenhua in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Shanghai Shenhua?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shanghai Shenhua win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 29%, draw 21%, Shanghai Shenhua 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua) ✓ BTTS No
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