Shanghai Port 2-1 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.18
Draw
17%
7.13
Away
19%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
1.0
Over 2.5
71%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
15.3
2-3 Goals EV+ ✓
39%
3.15
4-5 Goals
33%
2.3
6+ Goals
15%
2.53
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 3.15 — our 39% vs market 26.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1.24
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
5%
29.0
X/1
16%
3.98
X/2
5%
32.0
X/X
9%
15.9
2/1
8%
16.8
2/2
11%
19.15
2/X
3%
27.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
80%
-16.1pp
17%
Draw
11%
+5.9pp
19%
Away Win
8%
+10.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.8pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 11%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
3.63/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/2.98
+28% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
400 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 82%
45.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.9
27.0 Crosses 12.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Port
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
4.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
4.45 xG 0.99
62% Ball Possession 38%
25 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
502 Passes 273
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
50 Box Touches 14
30 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2024 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 5-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
18.05.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 3-5 HT 1-3 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNSL
01.05.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-5 HT 0-2 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
08.08.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-5 HT 0-1 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
10.05.2023 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 2-1 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Port
2-1
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
2.10 xG 1.97
57% Ball Possession 43%
21 Total Shots 17
11 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
378 Passes 260
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
49 Box Touches 21
26 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shanghai Port vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Port squeezed past Qingdao Jonoon 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shanghai Port as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Shanghai Port had 57% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 43%, shots finished 21-17, expected goals 2.10 to 1.97.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Shanghai Port had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 4.40 goals for Shanghai Port and 0.80 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Shanghai Port vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Shanghai Port 2-1 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Port vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Port win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Port 64%, draw 17%, Qingdao Jonoon 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Port), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Port) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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ÇİNSL More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
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