Nantong Zhiyun 3-2 Zhejiang G. FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
39%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.63
Over 2.5
54%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.39
No
47%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.26
2-3 Goals
40%
2.1
4-5 Goals
26%
2.54
6+ Goals
11%
5.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.52
1/2
4%
20.6
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
12%
7.65
X/2
12%
5.1
X/X
13%
6.14
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
23%
2.59
2/X
8%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.2pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
39%
Away Win
46%
-6.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
34%
+11.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
66%
-11.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
68%
-14.5pp
47%
BTTS No
32%
+14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nantong Zhiyun EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC EU Bookmakers 50%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -59% / -59%
0.87/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/2.49
-52% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -62%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
329 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 80%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.1
18.3 Crosses 25.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nantong Zhiyun
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.04 xG 1.65
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
258 Passes 360
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2024 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 5-2 HT 3-1 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİN
08.08.2023 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİN
10.05.2023 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun 1-2 HT 0-1 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN
05.08.2021 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun 1-1 HT 0-1 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN2
16.07.2021 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİN2
19.10.2019 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 1-2 HT 0-2 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nantong Zhiyun
3-2
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC
2.21 xG 0.89
38% Ball Possession 62%
20 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
230 Passes 412
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nantong Zhiyun vs Zhejiang G. FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nantong Zhiyun nicked a narrow win over Zhejiang G. FC 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Nantong Zhiyun made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Nantong Zhiyun had 38% of the ball to Zhejiang G. FC's 62%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 2.21 to 0.89 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Nantong Zhiyun's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zhejiang G. FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nantong Zhiyun and 1.83 for Zhejiang G. FC.

What was the final score of Nantong Zhiyun vs Zhejiang G. FC?

Nantong Zhiyun 3-2 Zhejiang G. FC in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nantong Zhiyun vs Zhejiang G. FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zhejiang G. FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nantong Zhiyun 33%, draw 28%, Zhejiang G. FC 39%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zhejiang G. FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zhejiang G. FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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