Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 Shanghai Shenhua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
7.95
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
56%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.63
Over 2.5
55%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.99
2-3 Goals
34%
2.07
4-5 Goals
30%
2.57
6+ Goals
11%
5.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
17.3
1/2
5%
21.45
1/X
4%
24.85
X/1
5%
24.0
X/2
18%
3.49
X/X
9%
9.6
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
32%
1.4
2/X
9%
26.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
10%
+13.4pp
21%
Draw
14%
+7.3pp
56%
Away Win
76%
-20.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
34%
+10.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
66%
-10.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua EU Bookmakers 81%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+40% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
178 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 607 · 87%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.3 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
0.70 xG 2.34
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
332 Passes 413
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.05.2024 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 2-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
08.03.2024 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 2-0 HT 2-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
07.11.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 HT 0-1 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİNK
30.09.2023 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 1-0 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
08.06.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 HT 0-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
0-1
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua
1.07 xG 3.54
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 25
2 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 8
212 Passes 420
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 54
13 Crosses 33
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Shanghai Shenhua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Shenhua nicked a narrow win over Qingdao Jonoon 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shanghai Shenhua as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Qingdao Jonoon had 36% of the ball to Shanghai Shenhua's 64%, shots finished 8-25, expected goals 1.07 to 3.54 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Shanghai Shenhua's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Shanghai Shenhua led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 1.40 for Shanghai Shenhua.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Shanghai Shenhua?

Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 Shanghai Shenhua in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Shanghai Shenhua?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shanghai Shenhua win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 23%, draw 21%, Shanghai Shenhua 56%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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