Chengdu Qianbao 4-0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.16
Draw
23%
7.13
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.59
Over 2.5
62%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
8.79
2-3 Goals
41%
2.4
4-5 Goals
30%
2.36
6+ Goals
15%
3.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1.23
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
6%
34.5
X/1
9%
3.61
X/2
3%
34.5
X/X EV+ ✗
12%
13.9
2/1
6%
21.15
2/2
6%
25.5
2/X
6%
32.0
Value flag · X/X at 13.9 — our 12% vs market 3.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
82%
-17.4pp
23%
Draw
11%
+11.7pp
12%
Away Win
7%
+5.7pp
38%
Under 2.5
24%
+13.8pp
62%
Over 2.5
76%
-13.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.1pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Cangzhou Mighty Lions EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.84/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/4.21
+37% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -15%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
451 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 73%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
24.4 Crosses 9.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Cangzhou Mighty Lions
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.99 xG 0.57
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
407 Passes 259
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 9
23 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
17.07.2023 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 2-1 HT 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
21.04.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-1 HT 2-0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
04.07.2022 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 1-1 HT 1-0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
12.06.2022 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 0-0 HT 0-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
4-0
AWAY Cangzhou Mighty Lions
3.44 xG 0.57
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
361 Passes 235
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
44 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chengdu Qianbao vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao ran out comfortable winners over Cangzhou Mighty Lions 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chengdu Qianbao as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Chengdu Qianbao had 58% of the ball to Cangzhou Mighty Lions's 42%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 3.44 to 0.57.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chengdu Qianbao and 1.00 for Cangzhou Mighty Lions.

What was the final score of Chengdu Qianbao vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions?

Chengdu Qianbao 4-0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chengdu Qianbao vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Chengdu Qianbao 65%, draw 23%, Cangzhou Mighty Lions 12%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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