East Fife 2-1 Kelty Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.87
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.58
6+ Goals
10%
15.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
+0.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-0.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME East Fife EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 26%
-7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +4%
1.53/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.80
-14% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 6.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME East Fife
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Kelty Hearts
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
19.07.2025 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-1 HT 0-0 East Fife East Fife İKLK
17.07.2021 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 3-0 HT 2-0 East Fife East Fife İKLK
POST-MATCH East Fife vs Kelty Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

East Fife squeezed past Kelty Hearts 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had East Fife as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for East Fife and 1.50 for Kelty Hearts.

What was the final score of East Fife vs Kelty Hearts?

East Fife 2-1 Kelty Hearts in the Scotland - 1st Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for East Fife vs Kelty Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated a East Fife win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split East Fife 53%, draw 25%, Kelty Hearts 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (East Fife), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (East Fife) ✓ Over 2.5
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