Alloa Athletic 1-0 Hamilton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.63
2-3 Goals
43%
1.69
4-5 Goals
23%
3.9
6+ Goals
9%
18.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-3.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
46%
Away Win
44%
+2.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.7pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamilton EU Bookmakers 48%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.42/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.30
+7% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alloa Athletic
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hamilton
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 8
11.05.2024 Hamilton Hamilton 3-2 HT 2-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
07.05.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-2 HT 0-1 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
24.02.2024 Hamilton Hamilton 1-2 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
09.12.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
16.09.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 2-1 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
13.05.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 5-2 HT 4-2 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
POST-MATCH Alloa Athletic vs Hamilton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alloa Athletic nicked a narrow win over Hamilton 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hamilton at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamilton led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alloa Athletic and 2.17 for Hamilton.

What was the final score of Alloa Athletic vs Hamilton?

Alloa Athletic 1-0 Hamilton in the Scotland - 1st Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alloa Athletic vs Hamilton?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hamilton win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Alloa Athletic 27%, draw 27%, Hamilton 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hamilton), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hamilton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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