Peterborough United 1-1 Bradford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
1.97
Over
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.39
2-3
40%
1.74
4-5
20%
3.13
6+
10%
11.1
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.39 — our 30% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.95
1/2
9%
23.2
1/X
5%
13.65
X/1
10%
6.94
X/2
16%
4.79
X/X
13%
4.96
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
17%
2.8
2/X
5%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
35%
Home Win
29%
+6.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-4.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.6pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough United The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Bradford City The Market 49%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.38/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.17
+24% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +95%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
276 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 75%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
11.9 Crosses 17.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough United
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Bradford City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
09.03.2019 Bradford City Bradford City 3-1 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
11.12.2018 Bradford City Bradford City 4-4 HT 1-3 Peterborough United Peterborough United FAK
01.12.2018 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-2 HT 2-0 Bradford City Bradford City FAK
17.11.2018 Peterborough United Peterborough United 1-1 HT 0-1 Bradford City Bradford City İN1
26.12.2017 Bradford City Bradford City 1-3 HT 0-2 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
09.09.2017 Peterborough United Peterborough United 1-3 HT 0-3 Bradford City Bradford City İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough United
1-1
AWAY Bradford City
0.87 xG 1.47
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
390 Passes 208
81% Pass Accuracy 68%
17 Box Touches 19
28 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Peterborough United vs Bradford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough United and Bradford City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bradford City at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Peterborough United had 61% of the ball to Bradford City's 39%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 0.87 to 1.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bradford City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Peterborough United and 2.33 for Bradford City.

What was the final score of Peterborough United vs Bradford City?

Peterborough United 1-1 Bradford City in the England - 1st Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough United vs Bradford City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bradford City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Peterborough United 35%, draw 23%, Bradford City 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bradford City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bradford City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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