Port Vale 0-1 Doncaster Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.6
Over
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2.38
2-3
38%
1.7
4-5
18%
4.36
6+
8%
23.65
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.38 — our 36% vs market 33.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.64
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.55
X/1
12%
5.13
X/2
17%
5.77
X/X
13%
3.89
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
15%
4.35
2/X
8%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
35%
Home Win
38%
-2.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+5.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Port Vale The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Doncaster Rovers The Market 36%
+3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -16%
1.33/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.35
+4% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
276 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 72%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
24.4 Crosses 18.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Port Vale
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.36 xG 1.26
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
255 Passes 331
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.01.2025 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 1-2 HT 0-1 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
10.12.2024 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale İNTK
31.08.2024 Port Vale Port Vale 2-3 HT 1-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
29.07.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale HAZ
08.11.2016 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale İNTK
26.01.2016 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 1-2 HT 0-1 Port Vale Port Vale İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Port Vale
0-1
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 6
227 Passes 316
69% Pass Accuracy 75%
POST-MATCH Port Vale vs Doncaster Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Doncaster Rovers nicked a narrow win over Port Vale 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Doncaster Rovers made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Port Vale had 45% of the ball to Doncaster Rovers's 55%, shots finished 13-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Port Vale had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Port Vale and 1.00 for Doncaster Rovers.

What was the final score of Port Vale vs Doncaster Rovers?

Port Vale 0-1 Doncaster Rovers in the England - 1st Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Port Vale vs Doncaster Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Doncaster Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Port Vale 35%, draw 27%, Doncaster Rovers 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Doncaster Rovers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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