Doncaster Rovers vs Port Vale Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Doncaster Rovers v Port Vale — Team-Based Signals
Doncaster Rovers vs Port Vale Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Port Vale
HAZ
0-0
HT 0-0
Port Vale
İNTK
1-2
HT 0-1
Port Vale
İN1
3-0
HT 1-0
Doncaster Rovers
İN1
Doncaster Rovers 1-2 Port Vale — Actual Match Statistics
Port Vale squeezed past Doncaster Rovers 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Doncaster Rovers at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Doncaster Rovers had 63% of the ball to Port Vale's 37%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 1.25 to 0.67 — on chances, Doncaster Rovers could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Port Vale led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Doncaster Rovers and 1.33 for Port Vale.
What was the final score of Doncaster Rovers vs Port Vale?
Doncaster Rovers 1-2 Port Vale in the England - 2nd Division on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Doncaster Rovers vs Port Vale?
Before kick-off our model rated a Doncaster Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Doncaster Rovers 47%, draw 26%, Port Vale 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.