Colchester 0-2 Accrington Stanley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.68
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
3.91
6+ Goals
9%
18.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.52
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.35
X/1
16%
4.14
X/2
5%
8.46
X/X
12%
4.36
2/1
10%
27.0
2/2
15%
6.87
2/X
6%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.6pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colchester EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Accrington Stanley EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -13%
1.68/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.55
+7% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
289 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 70%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
20.8 Crosses 19.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colchester
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Accrington Stanley
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.84 xG 1.51
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
257 Passes 258
71% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.08.2024 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 1-1 HT 1-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
17.02.2024 Colchester Colchester 1-1 HT 1-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
28.10.2023 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 0-1 HT 0-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
10.11.2018 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 1-0 HT 1-0 Colchester Colchester FAK
07.04.2018 Colchester Colchester 0-1 HT 0-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
05.08.2017 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 3-1 HT 2-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colchester
0-2
AWAY Accrington Stanley
0.40 xG 1.83
62% Ball Possession 38%
6 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
358 Passes 192
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
23 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Colchester vs Accrington Stanley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Accrington Stanley beat Colchester 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Colchester at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Colchester had 62% of the ball to Accrington Stanley's 38%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.40 to 1.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Accrington Stanley led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Colchester and 1.17 for Accrington Stanley.

What was the final score of Colchester vs Accrington Stanley?

Colchester 0-2 Accrington Stanley in the England - 2nd Division on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colchester vs Accrington Stanley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colchester win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Colchester 49%, draw 26%, Accrington Stanley 25%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Colchester) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Colchester) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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