Colchester vs Accrington Stanley Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Colchester v Accrington Stanley — Team-Based Signals
Colchester vs Accrington Stanley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Colchester
İN2
1-0
HT 1-0
Colchester
FAK
0-1
HT 0-0
Accrington Stanley
İN2
3-1
HT 2-0
Colchester
İN2
2-1
HT 2-0
Colchester
İN2
1-2
HT 1-0
Accrington Stanley
İN2
Colchester 1-1 Accrington Stanley — Actual Match Statistics
Colchester and Accrington Stanley couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Colchester had 53% of the ball to Accrington Stanley's 47%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 0.73 to 0.36.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Accrington Stanley led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Colchester and 1.50 for Accrington Stanley.
What was the final score of Colchester vs Accrington Stanley?
Colchester 1-1 Accrington Stanley in the England - 2nd Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Colchester vs Accrington Stanley?
Before kick-off our model rated an Accrington Stanley win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Colchester 35%, draw 25%, Accrington Stanley 40%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.