Newport County vs Gillingham Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newport County v Gillingham — Team-Based Signals
Newport County vs Gillingham Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Newport County
İN2
1-2
HT 1-1
Newport County
İN2
2-0
HT 1-0
Gillingham
İN2
2-2
HT 1-0
Newport County
İNLK
Newport County 1-0 Gillingham — Actual Match Statistics
Newport County squeezed past Gillingham 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 37% — and on the day Newport County made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Newport County had 50% of the ball to Gillingham's 50%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 0.56 to 1.52 — the balance of chances actually favoured Gillingham.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Newport County had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Newport County and 0.75 for Gillingham.
What was the final score of Newport County vs Gillingham?
Newport County 1-0 Gillingham in the England - 2nd Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newport County vs Gillingham?
Before kick-off our model rated an Gillingham win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Newport County 33%, draw 30%, Gillingham 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gillingham) went the other way.