Salford City 5-3 Barrow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.25
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.55
6+ Goals
10%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 30% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.27
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
13%
5.02
X/2
12%
5.96
X/X
11%
4.53
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
16%
4.17
2/X
9%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-2.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.5pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salford City EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Barrow EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +18%
1.27/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.18
+2% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
315 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 68%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
20.1 Crosses 19.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salford City
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Barrow
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.05 xG 1.05
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
351 Passes 244
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Barrow Barrow 0-0 HT 0-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
28.02.2023 Barrow Barrow 1-1 HT 0-1 Salford City Salford City İN2
26.12.2022 Salford City Salford City 1-1 HT 1-0 Barrow Barrow İN2
18.04.2022 Salford City Salford City 2-2 HT 1-0 Barrow Barrow İN2
25.01.2022 Barrow Barrow 0-2 HT 0-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
16.02.2021 Salford City Salford City 1-0 HT 1-0 Barrow Barrow İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salford City
5-3
AWAY Barrow
2.74 xG 1.43
63% Ball Possession 37%
30 Total Shots 13
11 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 6
220 Passes 107
68% Pass Accuracy 52%
41 Box Touches 14
43 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Salford City vs Barrow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salford City saw off Barrow 5-3. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Salford City found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Salford City had 63% of the ball to Barrow's 37%, shots finished 30-13, expected goals 2.74 to 1.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salford City had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Salford City and 0.67 for Barrow.

What was the final score of Salford City vs Barrow?

Salford City 5-3 Barrow in the England - 2nd Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salford City vs Barrow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salford City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Salford City 39%, draw 26%, Barrow 35%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salford City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Salford City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
17 Feb 2024
18:00 Grimsby Town vs Doncaster Rovers Analysis →
18:00 Wrexham vs Notts County Analysis →
18:00 Colchester vs Accrington Stanley Analysis →
18:00 Crawley Town vs Forest Green Rovers Analysis →
18:00 Newport County vs Gillingham Analysis →
18:00 Swindon Town vs Milton Keynes Dons Analysis →