Wrexham 1-0 Notts County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 17 Feb 2024

Wrexham
1-0 HT 1-0
Notts County
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Wrexham vs Notts County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.9
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.0
2-3 Goals
35%
1.93
4-5 Goals
25%
2.71
6+ Goals
15%
7.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.53
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
17%
4.76
X/2
9%
7.67
X/X
11%
5.61
2/1
5%
21.15
2/2
13%
4.89
2/X
5%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+1.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.9pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wrexham v Notts County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wrexham EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Notts County EU Bookmakers 31%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -22%
1.79/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/2.76
+93% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -36%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
244 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 508 · 83%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
26.4 Crosses 20.9
0.8 Yellow Cards 0.6

Wrexham vs Notts County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wrexham
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Notts County
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.98 xG 0.89
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
211 Passes 455
73% Pass Accuracy 88%
25 Box Touches 29
23 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Notts County Notts County 0-2 HT 0-0 Wrexham Wrexham İN2
10.04.2023 Wrexham Wrexham 3-2 HT 0-1 Notts County Notts County İBSL
04.10.2022 Notts County Notts County 1-0 HT 1-0 Wrexham Wrexham İBSL
11.03.2022 Notts County Notts County 1-2 HT 1-1 Wrexham Wrexham FAK
02.01.2022 Notts County Notts County 3-1 HT 2-1 Wrexham Wrexham İBSL
30.08.2021 Wrexham Wrexham 1-1 HT 0-1 Notts County Notts County İBSL

Wrexham 1-0 Notts County — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wrexham
1-0
AWAY Notts County
1.39 xG 0.87
26% Ball Possession 74%
17 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 8
153 Passes 609
73% Pass Accuracy 93%
26 Box Touches 18
32 Crosses 33
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wrexham vs Notts County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wrexham squeezed past Notts County 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wrexham as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wrexham had 26% of the ball to Notts County's 74%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.39 to 0.87.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wrexham had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Wrexham and 1.33 for Notts County.

What was the final score of Wrexham vs Notts County?

Wrexham 1-0 Notts County in the England - 2nd Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wrexham vs Notts County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wrexham win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Wrexham 50%, draw 22%, Notts County 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wrexham) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wrexham) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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