Crawley Town 2-0 Forest Green Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 17 Feb 2024

Crawley Town
2-0 HT 1-0
Forest Green Rovers
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Crawley Town vs Forest Green Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.53
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.31
6+ Goals
11%
12.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.31 — our 26% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.17
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
8%
12.65
X/1
18%
5.04
X/2
12%
6.15
X/X
10%
4.7
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
15%
4.19
2/X
8%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+3.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.1pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Crawley Town v Forest Green Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crawley Town EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 36%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -13%
1.38/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.23
+15% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
258 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 66%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
18.4 Crosses 19.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

Crawley Town vs Forest Green Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crawley Town
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.45 xG 1.76
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
255 Passes 297
66% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 2-1 HT 2-1 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
26.02.2022 Crawley Town Crawley Town 2-1 HT 2-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2
21.08.2021 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 6-3 HT 2-2 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
24.04.2021 Crawley Town Crawley Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2
29.12.2020 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-2 HT 0-1 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
04.01.2020 Crawley Town Crawley Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2

Crawley Town 2-0 Forest Green Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crawley Town
2-0
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
2.17 xG 0.49
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
432 Passes 283
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Crawley Town vs Forest Green Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crawley Town got the better of Forest Green Rovers 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Crawley Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Crawley Town had 58% of the ball to Forest Green Rovers's 42%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 2.17 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Crawley Town and 1.83 for Forest Green Rovers.

What was the final score of Crawley Town vs Forest Green Rovers?

Crawley Town 2-0 Forest Green Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crawley Town vs Forest Green Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crawley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Crawley Town 40%, draw 25%, Forest Green Rovers 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crawley Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crawley Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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