Accrington Stanley 1-1 Colchester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.95
Over 2.5
41%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.61
No
56%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.67
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.29
6+ Goals
8%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.67 — our 34% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.76
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
10%
11.45
X/1
14%
6.0
X/2
12%
5.99
X/X
16%
4.37
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
13%
3.75
2/X
5%
11.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+2.8pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.8pp
30%
Away Win
35%
-4.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.4pp
56%
BTTS No
42%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Accrington Stanley EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Colchester EU Bookmakers 38%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.26/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.48
+2% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
259 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 72%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
24.2 Crosses 17.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Accrington Stanley
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Colchester
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.36 xG 0.96
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
299 Passes 222
70% Pass Accuracy 68%
32 Box Touches 20
30 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
17.02.2024 Colchester Colchester 1-1 HT 1-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
28.10.2023 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 0-1 HT 0-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
10.11.2018 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 1-0 HT 1-0 Colchester Colchester FAK
07.04.2018 Colchester Colchester 0-1 HT 0-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
05.08.2017 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 3-1 HT 2-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
18.02.2017 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 2-1 HT 2-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Accrington Stanley
1-1
AWAY Colchester
1.81 xG 0.60
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
175 Passes 328
65% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 14
6 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Accrington Stanley vs Colchester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Accrington Stanley and Colchester shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Accrington Stanley had 39% of the ball to Colchester's 61%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.81 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Accrington Stanley had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Accrington Stanley and 0.67 for Colchester.

What was the final score of Accrington Stanley vs Colchester?

Accrington Stanley 1-1 Colchester in the England - 2nd Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Accrington Stanley vs Colchester?

Before kick-off our model rated a Accrington Stanley win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Accrington Stanley 39%, draw 31%, Colchester 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Accrington Stanley), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Accrington Stanley) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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