Milton Keynes Dons 0-1 Salford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
40%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.75
No
57%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.97
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.55
6+ Goals
10%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 34% vs market 26.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.47
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
12%
5.21
X/2
13%
5.99
X/X
10%
4.45
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
20%
4.22
2/X
9%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-4.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
40%
Away Win
33%
+7.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.4pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milton Keynes Dons EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Salford City EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +12%
1.32/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.13
+19% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
302 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 69%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
12.6 Crosses 18.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milton Keynes Dons
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Salford City
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.13 xG 1.24
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
374 Passes 261
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
02.09.2024 Salford City Salford City 1-0 HT 1-0 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN2
09.03.2024 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 3-1 HT 3-1 Salford City Salford City İN2
25.11.2023 Salford City Salford City 2-4 HT 2-1 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milton Keynes Dons
0-1
AWAY Salford City
1.34 xG 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
311 Passes 229
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Milton Keynes Dons vs Salford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salford City nicked a narrow win over Milton Keynes Dons 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Salford City made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Milton Keynes Dons had 56% of the ball to Salford City's 44%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 1.34 to 1.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Milton Keynes Dons had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Milton Keynes Dons and 1.33 for Salford City.

What was the final score of Milton Keynes Dons vs Salford City?

Milton Keynes Dons 0-1 Salford City in the England - 2nd Division on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milton Keynes Dons vs Salford City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Salford City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Milton Keynes Dons 35%, draw 25%, Salford City 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salford City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Salford City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
4 Jan 2025
15:30 Notts County vs Swindon Town Analysis →
16:00 Bradford City vs Grimsby Town Analysis →
18:00 Doncaster Rovers vs Port Vale Analysis →
18:00 Colchester vs Accrington Stanley Analysis →
18:00 Tranmere Rovers vs Carlisle United Analysis →
18:00 Barrow vs Harrogate Town Analysis →