Barrow 0-2 Harrogate Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.67
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
3.92
6+ Goals
9%
18.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.67 — our 32% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.12
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.6
X/1
13%
3.69
X/2
9%
10.7
X/X
17%
4.71
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
8%
9.28
2/X
7%
17.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-10.5pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.6pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.9pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barrow EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Harrogate Town EU Bookmakers 21%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / -1%
1.66/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.55
-33% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
267 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 200 · 61%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
23.9 Crosses 13.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barrow
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Harrogate Town
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
0.98 xG 0.68
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
218 Passes 254
62% Pass Accuracy 65%
21 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Barrow Barrow İN2
16.03.2024 Barrow Barrow 0-0 HT 0-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
02.09.2023 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Barrow Barrow İN2
18.03.2023 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Barrow Barrow İN2
20.08.2022 Barrow Barrow 1-0 HT 1-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
26.02.2022 Barrow Barrow 0-0 HT 0-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barrow
0-2
AWAY Harrogate Town
1.76 xG 0.85
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 8
269 Passes 186
67% Pass Accuracy 58%
30 Box Touches 12
41 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barrow vs Harrogate Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harrogate Town got the better of Barrow 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Barrow at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Barrow had 57% of the ball to Harrogate Town's 43%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.76 to 0.85 — the balance of chances actually favoured Barrow.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barrow had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Barrow and 0.17 for Harrogate Town.

What was the final score of Barrow vs Harrogate Town?

Barrow 0-2 Harrogate Town in the England - 2nd Division on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barrow vs Harrogate Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barrow win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Barrow 48%, draw 30%, Harrogate Town 22%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Barrow) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barrow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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