Barrow 0-0 Harrogate Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.09
No
49%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.8
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.18
6+ Goals
10%
20.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.05
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.5
X/1
13%
3.52
X/2
7%
10.75
X/X
10%
4.84
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
12%
9.43
2/X EV+ ✗
15%
18.5
Value flag · 2/X at 18.5 — our 15% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
60%
-13.3pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.5pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+7.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.7pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barrow EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Harrogate Town EU Bookmakers 20%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +31%
1.53/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.51
+4% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
372 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 70%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
23.3 Crosses 12.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barrow
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Harrogate Town
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.85 xG 0.85
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
215 Passes 256
61% Pass Accuracy 65%
18 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Barrow Barrow İN2
18.03.2023 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Barrow Barrow İN2
20.08.2022 Barrow Barrow 1-0 HT 1-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
26.02.2022 Barrow Barrow 0-0 HT 0-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
21.08.2021 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Barrow Barrow İN2
02.03.2021 Barrow Barrow 0-1 HT 0-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barrow
0-0
AWAY Harrogate Town
2.52 xG 0.35
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
318 Passes 227
73% Pass Accuracy 64%
39 Box Touches 17
31 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barrow vs Harrogate Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barrow and Harrogate Town played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Barrow at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Barrow had 56% of the ball to Harrogate Town's 44%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 2.52 to 0.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Harrogate Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Barrow and 0.67 for Harrogate Town.

What was the final score of Barrow vs Harrogate Town?

Barrow 0-0 Harrogate Town in the England - 2nd Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barrow vs Harrogate Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barrow win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Barrow 46%, draw 29%, Harrogate Town 24%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Barrow) ✗ BTTS Yes
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