Forest Green Rovers 0-1 Sutton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 16 Mar 2024

Forest Green Rovers
0-1 HT 0-1
Sutton United
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Forest Green Rovers vs Sutton United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.66
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.42
6+ Goals
8%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.58
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
10%
5.02
X/2
14%
5.69
X/X
14%
4.05
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
17%
4.27
2/X
6%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.9pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Forest Green Rovers v Sutton United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutton United EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -13%
1.46/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.05
+0% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
270 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 65%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
20.9 Crosses 16.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Forest Green Rovers vs Sutton United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forest Green Rovers
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sutton United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.01 xG 0.97
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
269 Passes 180
69% Pass Accuracy 59%
27 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Sutton United Sutton United 0-1 HT 0-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2
12.02.2022 Sutton United Sutton United 1-1 HT 1-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2
07.08.2021 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Sutton United Sutton United İN2
14.03.2017 Sutton United Sutton United 1-2 HT 0-2 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
15.10.2016 Sutton United Sutton United 2-1 HT 1-1 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers FAK
09.08.2016 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-1 HT 1-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL

Forest Green Rovers 0-1 Sutton United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forest Green Rovers
0-1
AWAY Sutton United
0.66 xG 0.43
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
176 Passes 240
56% Pass Accuracy 64%
11 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Forest Green Rovers vs Sutton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sutton United edged past Forest Green Rovers 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Sutton United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Forest Green Rovers had 45% of the ball to Sutton United's 55%, shots finished 5-7, expected goals 0.66 to 0.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forest Green Rovers had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Forest Green Rovers and 1.00 for Sutton United.

What was the final score of Forest Green Rovers vs Sutton United?

Forest Green Rovers 0-1 Sutton United in the England - 2nd Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forest Green Rovers vs Sutton United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sutton United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Forest Green Rovers 35%, draw 27%, Sutton United 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sutton United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sutton United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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