Colchester 1-1 Walsall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.51
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.4
6+ Goals
11%
12.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.51
1/2
9%
28.5
1/X
5%
12.8
X/1
11%
5.4
X/2
12%
5.79
X/X
14%
4.7
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
16%
3.87
2/X
8%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-3.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+2.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colchester EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Walsall EU Bookmakers 38%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -16%
1.43/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.13
+3% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
295 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 70%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
18.9 Crosses 17.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colchester
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Walsall
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.13 xG 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
224 Passes 230
65% Pass Accuracy 67%
17 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Walsall Walsall 1-0 HT 0-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
14.02.2023 Colchester Colchester 0-0 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
13.09.2022 Walsall Walsall 1-1 HT 0-1 Colchester Colchester İN2
30.04.2022 Colchester Colchester 2-2 HT 1-1 Walsall Walsall İN2
11.12.2021 Walsall Walsall 3-0 HT 2-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
17.04.2021 Colchester Colchester 2-1 HT 2-1 Walsall Walsall İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colchester
1-1
AWAY Walsall
1.81 xG 1.55
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
209 Passes 229
63% Pass Accuracy 69%
37 Box Touches 32
23 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Colchester vs Walsall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colchester and Walsall couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Colchester had 50% of the ball to Walsall's 50%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.81 to 1.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Walsall led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Colchester and 1.33 for Walsall.

What was the final score of Colchester vs Walsall?

Colchester 1-1 Walsall in the England - 2nd Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colchester vs Walsall?

Before kick-off our model rated an Walsall win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Colchester 35%, draw 27%, Walsall 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Walsall), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Walsall) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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