Gillingham 1-1 Grimsby Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 16 Mar 2024

Gillingham
1-1 HT 1-1
Grimsby Town
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Gillingham vs Grimsby Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.59
6+ Goals
9%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.1
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.3
X/1
14%
4.47
X/2
12%
6.4
X/X
19%
4.06
2/1
11%
29.5
2/2
11%
5.12
2/X
5%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gillingham v Grimsby Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gillingham EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Grimsby Town EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.77/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.34
-6% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
247 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 64%
32.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
23.8 Crosses 19.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8

Gillingham vs Grimsby Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gillingham
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Grimsby Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.05 xG 0.82
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
204 Passes 252
58% Pass Accuracy 66%
25 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 2-0 HT 2-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
14.02.2023 Gillingham Gillingham 2-1 HT 0-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
13.09.2022 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
21.03.2009 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 3-0 HT 1-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
06.09.2008 Gillingham Gillingham 3-0 HT 1-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
15.02.2003 Gillingham Gillingham 3-0 HT 3-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İNCL

Gillingham 1-1 Grimsby Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gillingham
1-1
AWAY Grimsby Town
1.60 xG 0.51
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
290 Passes 167
71% Pass Accuracy 59%
28 Box Touches 13
30 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gillingham vs Grimsby Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gillingham and Grimsby Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Gillingham had 59% of the ball to Grimsby Town's 41%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.60 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gillingham had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gillingham and 1.17 for Grimsby Town.

What was the final score of Gillingham vs Grimsby Town?

Gillingham 1-1 Grimsby Town in the England - 2nd Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gillingham vs Grimsby Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gillingham win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gillingham 40%, draw 30%, Grimsby Town 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gillingham), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gillingham) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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