Accrington Stanley 2-2 Notts County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 16 Mar 2024

Accrington Stanley
2-2 HT 1-2
Notts County
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Accrington Stanley vs Notts County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.33
Over 2.5
50%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.94
2-3 Goals
36%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
2.78
6+ Goals
12%
7.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.76
1/2
7%
23.6
1/X
7%
12.65
X/1
19%
6.21
X/2
14%
5.51
X/X
10%
5.61
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
16%
3.18
2/X
10%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
39%
+11.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
61%
-11.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.8pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Accrington Stanley v Notts County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Accrington Stanley EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Notts County EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
1.01/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/2.04
-7% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -38%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
234 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 72%
14.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
21.8 Crosses 22.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7

Accrington Stanley vs Notts County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Accrington Stanley
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Notts County
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.99 xG 1.28
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
237 Passes 428
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Notts County Notts County 3-1 HT 1-1 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
02.04.2018 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 1-0 HT 1-0 Notts County Notts County İN2
25.08.2017 Notts County Notts County 2-2 HT 1-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
04.02.2017 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 2-0 HT 1-0 Notts County Notts County İN2
10.09.2016 Notts County Notts County 0-2 HT 0-1 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
23.02.2016 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 3-2 HT 2-0 Notts County Notts County İN2

Accrington Stanley 2-2 Notts County — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Accrington Stanley
2-2
AWAY Notts County
2.87 xG 1.24
51% Ball Possession 49%
22 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
328 Passes 321
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
32 Box Touches 19
39 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Accrington Stanley vs Notts County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Accrington Stanley and Notts County couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Accrington Stanley had 51% of the ball to Notts County's 49%, shots finished 22-14, expected goals 2.87 to 1.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Accrington Stanley had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Accrington Stanley and 1.17 for Notts County.

What was the final score of Accrington Stanley vs Notts County?

Accrington Stanley 2-2 Notts County in the England - 2nd Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Accrington Stanley vs Notts County?

Before kick-off our model rated an Notts County win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Accrington Stanley 36%, draw 28%, Notts County 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Notts County) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Notts County) ✓ BTTS Yes
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