Bradford City 1-5 Mansfield Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.77
6+ Goals
9%
16.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 31% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.88
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
14%
5.63
X/2
13%
5.45
X/X
15%
4.34
2/1
9%
30.5
2/2
14%
3.7
2/X
5%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+1.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bradford City EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Mansfield Town EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +19%
1.26/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.16
+2% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
227 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 70%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
20.8 Crosses 19.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bradford City
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Mansfield Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.07 xG 0.97
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
254 Passes 282
66% Pass Accuracy 68%
16 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
04.02.2023 Bradford City Bradford City 1-1 HT 1-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
08.11.2022 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
26.02.2022 Bradford City Bradford City 0-2 HT 0-1 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
21.08.2021 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 2-3 HT 1-1 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
02.03.2021 Bradford City Bradford City 1-0 HT 1-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bradford City
1-5
AWAY Mansfield Town
1.76 xG 3.13
58% Ball Possession 42%
6 Total Shots 27
1 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 5
368 Passes 253
72% Pass Accuracy 67%
24 Box Touches 38
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bradford City vs Mansfield Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mansfield Town ran out comfortable winners over Bradford City 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Mansfield Town made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bradford City had 58% of the ball to Mansfield Town's 42%, shots finished 6-27, expected goals 1.76 to 3.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bradford City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bradford City and 1.00 for Mansfield Town.

What was the final score of Bradford City vs Mansfield Town?

Bradford City 1-5 Mansfield Town in the England - 2nd Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bradford City vs Mansfield Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bradford City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bradford City 38%, draw 29%, Mansfield Town 34%. The final score 1-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bradford City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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