Harrogate Town 0-1 Barrow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
40%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.8
Over 2.5
54%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.63
6+ Goals
13%
14.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.63 — our 24% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
5.74
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
8%
13.8
X/1
6%
7.66
X/2
10%
4.42
X/X
13%
4.57
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.64
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
26%
+7.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
40%
Away Win
47%
-7.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.9pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harrogate Town EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Barrow EU Bookmakers 51%
-2% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.21/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.11
+11% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -30%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
290 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 72%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
17.5 Crosses 23.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harrogate Town
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Barrow
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.77 xG 1.21
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
258 Passes 226
66% Pass Accuracy 63%
17 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Barrow Barrow 0-0 HT 0-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
02.09.2023 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Barrow Barrow İN2
18.03.2023 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Barrow Barrow İN2
20.08.2022 Barrow Barrow 1-0 HT 1-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
26.02.2022 Barrow Barrow 0-0 HT 0-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
21.08.2021 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Barrow Barrow İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harrogate Town
0-1
AWAY Barrow
0.42 xG 0.57
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
215 Passes 194
65% Pass Accuracy 62%
13 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Harrogate Town vs Barrow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barrow edged past Harrogate Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Barrow found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Harrogate Town had 51% of the ball to Barrow's 49%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.42 to 0.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Harrogate Town and 0.50 for Barrow.

What was the final score of Harrogate Town vs Barrow?

Harrogate Town 0-1 Barrow in the England - 2nd Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harrogate Town vs Barrow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barrow win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Harrogate Town 33%, draw 27%, Barrow 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barrow) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barrow) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
31 Aug 2024
14:30 Port Vale vs Doncaster Rovers Analysis →
14:30 Gillingham vs Chesterfield Analysis →
17:00 Swindon Town vs Notts County Analysis →
17:00 Walsall vs Cheltenham Town Analysis →
17:00 Carlisle United vs Tranmere Rovers Analysis →
17:00 Morecambe vs Newport County Analysis →