Bradford City 3-1 Grimsby Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.01
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.5
6+ Goals
9%
14.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 29% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.51
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
15%
4.29
X/2
10%
8.43
X/X
16%
4.61
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
12%
6.5
2/X
7%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-7.8pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.3pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bradford City EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Grimsby Town EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.47/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.42
-15% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
314 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 70%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
22.1 Crosses 18.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bradford City
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Grimsby Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.74 xG 0.84
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
265 Passes 243
71% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
13.08.2024 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Bradford City Bradford City İNLK
01.04.2024 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
10.10.2023 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Bradford City Bradford City İNTK
09.09.2023 Bradford City Bradford City 1-1 HT 0-1 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
01.04.2023 Bradford City Bradford City 3-2 HT 1-2 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bradford City
3-1
AWAY Grimsby Town
2.54 xG 0.45
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
309 Passes 215
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
29 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bradford City vs Grimsby Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bradford City got the better of Grimsby Town 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bradford City as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Bradford City had 57% of the ball to Grimsby Town's 43%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 2.54 to 0.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bradford City had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bradford City and 1.33 for Grimsby Town.

What was the final score of Bradford City vs Grimsby Town?

Bradford City 3-1 Grimsby Town in the England - 2nd Division on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bradford City vs Grimsby Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bradford City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bradford City 42%, draw 31%, Grimsby Town 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bradford City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bradford City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
4 Jan 2025
15:30 Notts County vs Swindon Town Analysis →
18:00 Doncaster Rovers vs Port Vale Analysis →
18:00 Colchester vs Accrington Stanley Analysis →
18:00 Tranmere Rovers vs Carlisle United Analysis →
18:00 Milton Keynes Dons vs Salford City Analysis →
18:00 Barrow vs Harrogate Town Analysis →