Grimsby Town 2-1 Bradford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.26
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.62
6+ Goals
9%
14.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 30% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.83
1/2
10%
26.0
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
12%
6.71
X/2
13%
4.79
X/X
11%
4.49
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
21%
3.0
2/X
6%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.4pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.8pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grimsby Town EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Bradford City EU Bookmakers 48%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -31%
1.24/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.95
+6% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
250 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 71%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
17.6 Crosses 21.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grimsby Town
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Bradford City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.96 xG 1.68
47% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
236 Passes 269
67% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2024 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Bradford City Bradford City İNLK
01.04.2024 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
10.10.2023 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Bradford City Bradford City İNTK
09.09.2023 Bradford City Bradford City 1-1 HT 0-1 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
01.04.2023 Bradford City Bradford City 3-2 HT 1-2 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
22.10.2022 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grimsby Town
2-1
AWAY Bradford City
0.83 xG 1.28
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
222 Passes 275
69% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Grimsby Town vs Bradford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grimsby Town nicked a narrow win over Bradford City 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bradford City at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Grimsby Town had 46% of the ball to Bradford City's 54%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.83 to 1.28 — the balance of chances actually favoured Bradford City.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bradford City led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Grimsby Town and 1.33 for Bradford City.

What was the final score of Grimsby Town vs Bradford City?

Grimsby Town 2-1 Bradford City in the England - 2nd Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grimsby Town vs Bradford City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bradford City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Grimsby Town 31%, draw 24%, Bradford City 44%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Bradford City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bradford City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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