Grimsby Town 1-1 Bradford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 13 Aug 2024

Grimsby Town
1-1 HT 1-0
Bradford City
📅13/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - League Cup – 2024/2025

Grimsby Town vs Bradford City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.58
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.35
6+ Goals
8%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 33% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.38
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
9%
6.42
X/2
12%
5.08
X/X
13%
4.69
2/1
9%
31.5
2/2
19%
3.14
2/X
9%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-3.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.7pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Grimsby Town v Bradford City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grimsby Town EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Bradford City EU Bookmakers 45%
+52% / +52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.60/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.64
-12% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +20%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
246 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 70%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
12.0 Crosses 22.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Grimsby Town vs Bradford City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grimsby Town
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Bradford City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.00 xG 1.40
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
230 Passes 272
66% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.04.2024 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
10.10.2023 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Bradford City Bradford City İNTK
09.09.2023 Bradford City Bradford City 1-1 HT 0-1 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
01.04.2023 Bradford City Bradford City 3-2 HT 1-2 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
22.10.2022 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
10.04.2021 Bradford City Bradford City 1-0 HT 1-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2

Grimsby Town 1-1 Bradford City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grimsby Town
1-1
AWAY Bradford City
0.67 xG 3.01
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
346 Passes 277
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 35
16 Crosses 33
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Grimsby Town vs Bradford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grimsby Town and Bradford City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Grimsby Town had 54% of the ball to Bradford City's 46%, shots finished 8-22, expected goals 0.67 to 3.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bradford City led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Grimsby Town and 1.33 for Bradford City.

What was the final score of Grimsby Town vs Bradford City?

Grimsby Town 1-1 Bradford City in the England - League Cup on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grimsby Town vs Bradford City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bradford City win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Grimsby Town 35%, draw 28%, Bradford City 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bradford City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bradford City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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