Grimsby Town 1-1 Bradford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.71
6+ Goals
9%
15.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 31% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.54
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
6%
13.35
X/1
9%
5.23
X/2
15%
5.66
X/X
14%
4.53
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
17%
3.95
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-4.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+3.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.6pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grimsby Town EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Bradford City EU Bookmakers 38%
-13% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +10%
1.36/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.94
-15% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
262 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 66%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
21.0 Crosses 18.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grimsby Town
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Bradford City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.06 xG 1.14
49% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
249 Passes 270
66% Pass Accuracy 68%
17 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.10.2023 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Bradford City Bradford City İNTK
09.09.2023 Bradford City Bradford City 1-1 HT 0-1 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
01.04.2023 Bradford City Bradford City 3-2 HT 1-2 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
22.10.2022 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
10.04.2021 Bradford City Bradford City 1-0 HT 1-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
22.12.2020 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-2 HT 0-2 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grimsby Town
1-1
AWAY Bradford City
0.63 xG 1.97
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
168 Passes 222
59% Pass Accuracy 64%
20 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Grimsby Town vs Bradford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grimsby Town and Bradford City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Grimsby Town had 46% of the ball to Bradford City's 54%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.63 to 1.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bradford City led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Grimsby Town and 1.50 for Bradford City.

What was the final score of Grimsby Town vs Bradford City?

Grimsby Town 1-1 Bradford City in the England - 2nd Division on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grimsby Town vs Bradford City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bradford City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Grimsby Town 34%, draw 28%, Bradford City 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bradford City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bradford City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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